Iran does not need nuclear weapons; A weak policy towards Tehran is already doing the job
On Thursday, February 3, The Wall Street Journal quoted senior Biden administration officials as saying that even if world powers manage to strike a deal with Tehran, the regime would still be able to produce a nuclear warhead within a year, making it virtually any futile deal.
For almost the entire span of the new century, the Iranian nuclear dossier has been one of the most serious foreign policy challenges to the northern hemisphere and to governments. Regardless of their political leanings, governments have struggled to figure out how to prevent a brutal new nuclear-armed state like Iran.
The West in particular has attempted a rather erratic approach, ranging from ‘critical dialogue’ to ‘positive engagement’ and ‘constructive dialogue’. The former US administration also tried the policy of “maximum pressure” towards Tehran. But the clerical regime’s response has remained static: a multi-layered security strategy, employing regional proxy warfare, a growing ballistic missile program and the nuclear weapons program. All three served only one purpose: maximum extortion from the global community.
For years, the West has changed its behavior vis-à-vis Tehran, offering security guarantees, refusing to support the popular uprising in Iran, ignoring the gross and systemic violations of human rights in the country, putting blacklisting the main Iranian opposition movement, and even trying in vain to dismantle it. For its part, the Iranian regime has frequently changed its tone, but in practice has refused to budge an inch.
From its foundation until the very beginning of the 21st century, the Iranian regime has been the most active sponsor of global terrorism. But the West continued to release captured terrorists or pay the ransom, which essentially funded Tehran’s hostage-taking policy. It took 9/11 and two major wars for the United States to wake up to the new global threat, something the Iranian Resistance had warned about as early as 1993.
The West has been so persistent in turning a blind eye to the regime’s malign activities that Western intelligence agencies have failed to detect Tehran’s clandestine agenda. It was not until the NCRI revealed the sites of Natanz and Arak in August 2002 that the world learned that there was a serious threat to regional security and world peace.
Subsequently, the NCRI continued to expose the various components of the regime’s alleged “leverage” against the world community; namely the IRGC’s Quds Force and its Commander-in-Chief, Qassem Soleimani, its malign activities around the world, and the regime’s secret missile and nuclear sites. The woke skepticism of the International Atomic Energy Agency and dozens of sanctions regimes by Western countries have been made possible by NCRI revelations that have cost its own members in Iran dearly.
The very fact that the NCRI managed to outwit the Iranian Revolutionary Guards, the Ministry of Intelligence as well as dozens of other intelligence agencies in the West and the Middle East did not convince world leaders to change course. . Their dedication to basing their policy on hope rather than facts on the ground has all but turned the new “island of stability” into a major destabilizing factor in the Middle East and beyond.
The clerical regime has never been legitimate in the eyes of the Iranian people. Yet it managed to survive major national uprisings and other intertwined crises, thanks to the reckless and misguided policies of Western powers. We are not talking about a policy of appeasement, but rather a strategy of weakness.
The regime in Tehran does not need nuclear warheads to extort neighboring countries or the West into endless political maneuvering and endless negotiations over its behavior. He’s been doing it for four decades. An arsenal of nuclear bombs cannot help the Iranian regime survive the current socio-economic crises, but the strategy of world weakness only keeps a sick tyranny alive.
If the international community wants to free itself from Tehran’s strategy of extortion and blackmail, it does not need the blessing of the Iranian regime’s Supreme Leader. All he has to do is recognize what he has learned over the past 43 years and make common sense decisions, which is to say recognize that no economic and political concessions will result in a change in behavior. of the regime. A leopard never changes place.
As the Iranian people and their Resistance take the destiny of their nation into their own hands, it would be more useful for the West to recognize this reality and adapt to the inevitable change.